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⚠️ Important weather update for anyone planning a “wake up to watch” strategy tonight….⛈️

FIFA's official Azteca forecast: 90% risk of lightning storms around kick-off. 

Under FIFA protocol, lightning within 6 miles = no kick-off until a 30-minute lightning-free window. 
(France vs Iraq was held up nearly 2 hours by the same rule).

The percentages as I see them factoring this in:

• On-time 1am kick-off: 35%
• 30–75 min delay: 35% (most likely outcome)
• 1–2 hr delay: 20%
• 2 hrs+: 8%

What's your move? 👇
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sebcbrown4
⚠️ Important weather update for anyone planning a “wake up to watch” strategy tonight….⛈️ FIFA's official Azteca forecast: 90% risk of lightning storms around kick-off. Under FIFA protocol, lightning within 6 miles = no kick-off until a 30-minute lightning-free window. (France vs Iraq was held up nearly 2 hours by the same rule). The percentages as I see them factoring this in: • On-time 1am kick-off: 35% • 30–75 min delay: 35% (most likely outcome) • 1–2 hr delay: 20% • 2 hrs+: 8% What's your move? 👇

UPDATE for anyone setting an alarm for England tonight ⚡️ The storm has arrived at the Azteca early. As of the last hour: • Lightning protocol active — pitch closed • Gates failed to open at 3pm local — fans held outside • 85,000 still to get through security Revised numbers: • On-time 1am kick-off: 15% (was 40% this morning) • Delayed 30–75 mins: 50% — most likely outcome • Delayed 1–2 hrs: 28% • 2 hrs+: 6% Same stadium, same storm pattern as Mexico vs Ecuador on Tuesday — that one went off exactly an hour late.

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UPDATE for anyone setting an alarm for England tonight ⚡️ The storm has arrived at the Azteca early. As of the last hour: • Lightning protocol active — pitch closed • Gates failed to open at 3pm local — fans held outside • 85,000 still to get through security Revised numbers: • On-time 1am kick-off: 15% (was 40% this morning) • Delayed 30–75 mins: 50% — most likely outcome • Delayed 1–2 hrs: 28% • 2 hrs+: 6% Same stadium, same storm pattern as Mexico vs Ecuador on Tuesday — that one went off exactly an hour late.

Right, 1.2 million of you turned up for my Azteca storm forecast last week (delay duly delivered, you're welcome), so apparently I'm the weather guy now ⚡️ Quarter-final edition - Norway vs England, Miami, 10pm UK: Everyone's seen the "game under threat" headlines. Here's the thing they've missed , that Saharan dust cloud causing all the health warnings? Not having it….. Dry air like that kills thunderstorms. The dust isn't the threat. The dust is the bodyguard. My numbers: • On-time 10pm kick-off: 85% • Any delay: 15% • Zero lightning delays at this stadium all tournament The real story is the forecast 33 degrees actually felt like 41°C in a stadium with no breeze so whoever manages their legs better wins this after minute 70. No alarm strategy needed tonight. Just man marking on the Viking and let’s get after that little 🐐 in the semis…

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sebcbrown4
Right, 1.2 million of you turned up for my Azteca storm forecast last week (delay duly delivered, you're welcome), so apparently I'm the weather guy now ⚡️ Quarter-final edition - Norway vs England, Miami, 10pm UK: Everyone's seen the "game under threat" headlines. Here's the thing they've missed , that Saharan dust cloud causing all the health warnings? Not having it….. Dry air like that kills thunderstorms. The dust isn't the threat. The dust is the bodyguard. My numbers: • On-time 10pm kick-off: 85% • Any delay: 15% • Zero lightning delays at this stadium all tournament The real story is the forecast 33 degrees actually felt like 41°C in a stadium with no breeze so whoever manages their legs better wins this after minute 70. No alarm strategy needed tonight. Just man marking on the Viking and let’s get after that little 🐐 in the semis…

My latest plan following this forecast is now to just watch 🇧🇷 🇳🇴 and then go to sleep. Wake up with my son to watch full thing “as live” around 7am UK time

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My latest plan following this forecast is now to just watch 🇧🇷 🇳🇴 and then go to sleep. Wake up with my son to watch full thing “as live” around 7am UK time

Update- Revised percentages after weather update from “blanket risk” to “scattered” •On-time 1am BST kick-off: 40% (was 35%) •Delayed 30–75 mins: 35% (unchanged, still the modal outcome, the Ecuador precedent was exactly 1hr) •Delayed 1–2 hrs: 18% (was 20%) •Delayed 2 hrs+: 5% (was 8% •Postponed: 2% In-game suspension risk also drops, from ~25–30% to ~15–20%, the decay pattern means if it starts, it probably finishes uninterrupted.

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sebcbrown4
Update- Revised percentages after weather update from “blanket risk” to “scattered” •On-time 1am BST kick-off: 40% (was 35%) •Delayed 30–75 mins: 35% (unchanged, still the modal outcome, the Ecuador precedent was exactly 1hr) •Delayed 1–2 hrs: 18% (was 20%) •Delayed 2 hrs+: 5% (was 8% •Postponed: 2% In-game suspension risk also drops, from ~25–30% to ~15–20%, the decay pattern means if it starts, it probably finishes uninterrupted.

Hey @grok , what’s the most goals ever scored in a game at wembley stadium?

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sebcbrown4
Hey @grok , what’s the most goals ever scored in a game at wembley stadium?

Great read from an altitude training specialist ahead of England vs Mexico

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sebcbrown4
Great read from an altitude training specialist ahead of England vs Mexico

UPDATE for anyone setting an alarm for England tonight ⚡️ The storm has arrived at the Azteca early. As of the last hour: • Lightning protocol active — pitch closed • Gates failed to open at 3pm local — fans held outside • 85,000 still to get through security Revised numbers: • On-time 1am kick-off: 15% (was 40% this morning) • Delayed 30–75 mins: 50% — most likely outcome • Delayed 1–2 hrs: 28% • 2 hrs+: 6% Same stadium, same storm pattern as Mexico vs Ecuador on Tuesday — that one went off exactly an hour late.

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sebcbrown4
UPDATE for anyone setting an alarm for England tonight ⚡️ The storm has arrived at the Azteca early. As of the last hour: • Lightning protocol active — pitch closed • Gates failed to open at 3pm local — fans held outside • 85,000 still to get through security Revised numbers: • On-time 1am kick-off: 15% (was 40% this morning) • Delayed 30–75 mins: 50% — most likely outcome • Delayed 1–2 hrs: 28% • 2 hrs+: 6% Same stadium, same storm pattern as Mexico vs Ecuador on Tuesday — that one went off exactly an hour late.

@lateriser12 Surprised by this captaincy

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sebcbrown4
@lateriser12 Surprised by this captaincy

KO delay 1 hour confirmed

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KO delay 1 hour confirmed

@stoolpresidente @ForePlayPod @bobdoessports World class throughout, congratulations to everyone involved. Executed to perfection. RIP Beef

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sebcbrown4
@stoolpresidente @ForePlayPod @bobdoessports World class throughout, congratulations to everyone involved. Executed to perfection. RIP Beef

@RandolphUK @ace_grading Unreal 👏🏻

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@RandolphUK @ace_grading Unreal 👏🏻

Konsa, Anderson, Madueke OFF Stones, Rogers, Saka ON Not in 15 minutes, NOW please Thomas

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sebcbrown4
Konsa, Anderson, Madueke OFF Stones, Rogers, Saka ON Not in 15 minutes, NOW please Thomas

Do yourself a favour and watch the final round highlights from @livgolf_league last night in 🇦🇺One of best wins in years. Insane final group of Bryson, Rahm & Anthony Kim! Movie!

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sebcbrown4
Do yourself a favour and watch the final round highlights from @livgolf_league last night in 🇦🇺One of best wins in years. Insane final group of Bryson, Rahm & Anthony Kim! Movie!

This excessive playing out from the back is concerning already. Seriously messing with my resting HR

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sebcbrown4
This excessive playing out from the back is concerning already. Seriously messing with my resting HR

@FPLGeneral Why Elvedi over Widmer?

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sebcbrown4
@FPLGeneral Why Elvedi over Widmer?

@ZerkaaHD Congratulations guys!

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@ZerkaaHD Congratulations guys!

Wow, that par save from Jackson Koivun on 9, this kids got some grit. Watch out world

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sebcbrown4
Wow, that par save from Jackson Koivun on 9, this kids got some grit. Watch out world

Tonight is the night! Finally Part 2 of the Seb On Golf Invitational. Just waiting on a copyright claim to clear on YT then sending LIVE!!

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sebcbrown4
Tonight is the night! Finally Part 2 of the Seb On Golf Invitational. Just waiting on a copyright claim to clear on YT then sending LIVE!!

@robtFPL Is it typical for them to change the model that much without additional new info?

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sebcbrown4
@robtFPL Is it typical for them to change the model that much without additional new info?

Seb Carmichael-Brown (@sebcbrown4) X Stats & Analytics

Seb Carmichael-Brown (@sebcbrown4) has 39.3K X followers with a 0.06% engagement rate over the past 12 months. Across 46.0 posts, Seb Carmichael-Brown received 1.41K total likes and 2.53M impressions, averaging 30.6 likes per post. This page tracks Seb Carmichael-Brown's performance metrics, top content, and engagement trends — updated daily. To benchmark @sebcbrown4 against other accounts, use Socialpruf's X competitor analysis tool.

Seb Carmichael-Brown (@sebcbrown4) X Analytics FAQ

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Seb Carmichael-Brown (@sebcbrown4) has 39.3K X (Twitter) followers as of October 2026.
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Seb Carmichael-Brown's X (Twitter) engagement rate is 0.06% over the last 12 months, based on 46.0 posts.
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Seb Carmichael-Brown received 1.41K total likes across 46.0 posts in the last 12 months, averaging 30.6 likes per post.
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